Deterrence Strategy Against China in the West Philippine Sea

Understanding Deterrence

Deterrence is a strategic concept that aims to dissuade potential adversaries from taking aggressive actions by convincing them that the costs of doing so outweigh the benefits.

In the context of the West Philippine Sea, deterrence involves measures taken by the Philippines to prevent China from asserting its maritime claims and engaging in coercive activities within the country's exclusive economic zone (EEZ).

Elements of a Deterrence Strategy

An effective deterrence strategy against China in the West Philippine Sea requires a comprehensive approach that encompasses the following elements:

• Credible military capabilities: Developing and maintaining a robust military presence capable of defending the country's territorial waters and deterring potential aggressors.
• Diplomatic engagement: Engaging in multilateral and bilateral diplomacy to rally international support for the Philippines' claims and isolate China.
• Economic sanctions: Imposing economic penalties on China to increase the costs of its aggressive actions.
• Public diplomacy: Raising awareness about China's activities in the West Philippine Sea and mobilizing public opinion against its claims.

Case Study: The Whitsun Reef Incident

The Whitsun Reef incident in March-May 2021, where over 200 Chinese fishing vessels anchored near the reef for several weeks, highlights the challenges faced by the Philippines in deterring China's maritime aggression.

The incident demonstrated the need for the Philippines to strengthen its deterrence strategy by enhancing its military capabilities, building international partnerships, and implementing targeted economic measures against China.

Conclusion

If the Philippines aspires to achieve its long-term strategic goals in the West Philippine Sea, it must adopt a comprehensive deterrence strategy that effectively discourages China from pursuing its aggressive maritime claims.

By investing in military capabilities, engaging in diplomacy, using economic leverage, and mobilizing its public, the Philippines can create a credible deterrent that safeguards its sovereign rights and ensures the stability of the West Philippine Sea.